Emerson Poll: Dead Heat Between Cruz, O’Rourke in Texas Senate Race

Emerson Poll: Dead Heat Between Cruz, O'Rourke in Texas Senate Race

Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, is in a virtual tie with his Democratic challenger, Rep. Beto O’Rourke, according to the latest online poll from Emerson College.


According to the poll, Cruz holds a very slim lead, though O’Rourke is well within the margin of error, with one-fifth of voters still undecided.


  • Cruz: 38 percent
  • O’Rourke: 37 percent
  • Other: 4 percent
  • Undecided: 21 percent

Emerson also found that Texas Gov. Greg Abbott holds a 20 vote advantage over his opponent, former Dallas County sheriff Lupe Valdez, in the gubernatorial race.


  • Abbott: 48 percent
  • Valdez: 28 percent
  • Other: 3 percent
  • Undecided: 20 percent

According to Emerson,  Abbott owes his lead to strong support among independent voters, while Cruz is more disliked than liked by independents, leading to lower overall support.


  • Independents for Cruz: 25 percent
  • Independents for O’Rourke: 38 percent
  • Independents for Abbott: 38 percent
  • Independents for Valdez: 27 percent

Cruz also has a disadvantage compared to Abbott in that his opponent is more popular and widely known than Abbott’s opponent.


The Emerson e-Poll was conducted from Aug. 22-25, 2018 with 550 registered voters, and a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.



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