ABC/WashPost: Dems Surge to 14-Point Lead in Generic Midterm Poll

ABC/WashPost: Dems Surge to 14-Point Lead in Generic Midterm Poll

Democrats have surged to a 14 percentage-point advantage in a national generic midterm survey among registered voters, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Tuesday.

The Democrats lead Republicans 52 percent to 38 percent, after holding only a four percentage-point gap in April and a 12-point lead in January.

Other results from the poll include:

  • Sixty percent of registered voters say they prefer seeing the next Congress controlled by Democrats, as a check on President Donald Trump, than by the GOP, to support the president’s agenda. Preference for Democratic control is up eight points from a year ago.
  • Forty-six percent of independents are now leaning toward the Democratic Party, compared with just 36 percent in April.
  • Fifty-nine percent of registered voters say it’s highly important to them to support a candidate who shares their opinion of the president.
  • Although that percentage is equal for Trump backers and opponents, his critics outnumber his supporters by a 22 percentage-point margin in this survey.
  • Thirty-four percent strongly seek a candidate who shares their view of, the House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi.
  • Although 51 percent of Americans say the Democrats are out of touch with most people’s concerns, that’s down 16 points since April 2017. Sixty-three percent say both Trump and the Republicans are out of touch.
  •  Sixty-five percent say it’s more important for them to vote compared to past midterm elections. Among Trump supporters, 56 percent say so, but among the much larger number who disapprove of the president, 73 percent said it’s more important to them to vote in the midterms this time.
  •  The number of self-reported registered voters who say they’re certain to vote this year has grown from 62 percent in January to 67 percent in April to 75 percent in the latest survey, with those gains disproportionately among more Democratic-leaning groups.
  • Seventy-two percent of registered voters think the Democrats will try to impeach Trump if they take control of the House. Among Democrats, 72 percent favor impeachment, while among the GOP backing for such a move is only 12 percent.
  • If the Democrats took control of the House, 43 percent of Americans say they wouldn’t be tough enough on immigration, but six percent say Trump is “too harsh” in dealing with illegal immigration.
  •  Among non-college white men, support for the GOP has fallen from a 43-point advantage to Republicans in April to just a10-point margin in favor of the GOP now. Among all men, Democrats hold a slim 45-44 percent lead.
  • The Democrats, at the same time, have achieved growth in one of their key groups, Among college-educated white women, support for Democrats has grown from a 24-point lead last spring to 38 percentage-point gap now. Democrats currently lead by a 25 percentage points among women overall.
  • Among whites, 46 percent support Republicans, while 45 percent back Democrats.

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone between Aug. 26-29 in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.6 points. Partisan divisions are 33-25-37 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

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