Polls overwhelmingly show Biden leading Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan. But are they right this time?

CHICAGO — On Election Day 2016, the polls showed Hillary Clinton with a nearly 4 percentage point lead in Michigan and a 6-point lead in Wisconsin, but Republican Donald Trump would go on to win both states by less than 1 point.Of 28 Wisconsin polls conducted in 2016, all of them showed Clinton with the lead, according to polling data tracked by RealClearPolitics. In Michigan, 36 of 37 polls had Clinton ahead. And yet Trump’s victories in both states won him the presidency.“None of those Wisconsin polls had Trump ahead, and four or five of them were mine. My final poll was plus 6 for Clinton,”…

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