Rasmussen Defends Design Amid Allegations of Pro-Trump Bias

Rasmussen Defends Design Amid Allegations of Pro-Trump Bias

President Donald Trump’s approval rating is at 51 percent — significantly higher than other polls indicate — according to the latest Rasmussen Tracking Poll, and the chief executive’s critics are not happy about it.

The crowd at “Morning Joe” on MSNBC ridiculed the poll Monday as an outlier or worse. Trump’s average in the RealClearPolitics job approval roundup is 42.4 percent. Trump scores no higher than 44 percent anywhere else.

FiveThirtyEight, which analyzed the historical accuracy of dozens of polls prior to the 2016 election, gave Rasmussen a C-plus.

But Fran Coombs, managing editor of the poll, said on “The Laura Ingraham Show” the criticism that his company receives in unwarranted.

“It’s nonsense,” he said. “All these pollsters that these guys like to rely on, as your listeners well know, had disastrous results in 2016. And to the best of our knowledge, I don’t think they’ve really corrected anything at all. So as far as I know, they’re probably still having disastrous results.”

Rasmussen Outlier

Rasmussen Reports consistently records higher approval for the president than other polls
Pollster Trump Approval
ABC/Wash Post 44%
NBC/WSJ 39%
Gallup 39%
Rasmussen 51%
Economist/YouGov 42%
Reuters/IPSOS 39%
Qunnipiac 41%
Harvard/Harris 44%

Source: RealClearPolitics

Combs said he would put the Rasmussen poll up against any other. It was significantly more accurate that most polling companies during the last presidential election, he said.

Combs said he believes Rasmussen’s methodology is superior for three reasons. First, he said, the company screens out registered voters who are not likely to vote. Many pollsters this far before an election use registered voters even though including unlikely voters skews the results, he said.

Second, Combs said, Rasmussen is a daily tracking poll. It uses a 1,500-person sample, continually dropping out 500 people and adding 500 new people.

For that reason, Combs argued, tracking polls were better able to pick up opinion swings and more accurate during the 2016 election than polls that simply took a snapshot in time.

And finally, Combs said, Rasmussen uses “robo-calling,” an automated questionnaire that lets respondents avoid talking to a real person.

“We honestly believe, particularly in days like these where everybody is so partisan, that people are more likely to tell the truth to an anonymous machine, if you will,” he said.

It is not just television pundits who mock Rasmussen’s divergent results. Combs recalled that Lanny Davis, a longtime friend of Bill and Hillary Clinton, sent him a nasty email three days before the 2016 election asking if Rasmussen was going to apologize for getting the race so wrong and skewing the RealClearPolitics average.

Related: Trump Hits His Highest Approval Yet in Marist Poll

“We have not heard a word from Lanny ever since Trump was elected and we were proven right,” he said.

Combs said Rasmussen conducts polls more or less the same way it did when Barack Obama was president, except for adding more cellphone users.

“In many instances, we had Obama, his favorables higher than some of the other pollsters did,” he said. “And, of course, they didn’t complain about that.”

PoliZette senior writer Brendan Kirby can be reached at [email protected] Follow him on Twitter.​

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